TD Economics
Forecasts
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December 18, 2015 - U.S. Quarterly State Forecast (pdf) December 17, 2015 - Long-term Economic Forecast (pdf)
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Current Publications
- Key Economic Indicators* (opens new window)
- Canadian Commentaries (opens new window)
- U.S. Commentaries (opens new window)
- Weekly Bottom Line* (opens new window)
- Canadian Dollars & Sense* (opens new window)
- U.S. Dollars & Sense* (opens new window)
- Quarterly Economic Forecast - Canada* (opens new window)
- Quarterly Economic Forecast - U.S.* (opens new window)
- U.S. Quarterly State Forecast* (opens new window)
- Canadian Provincial Economic Forecast* (opens new window)
- Long-term Economic Forecast* (opens new window)
- Commodity Price Report* (opens new window)
- Federal & Provincial Budgets (opens new window)
Special Reports
- Six Employment Facts From A Not So Great Year* (opens new window)
- Don't Let Zero Get In the Way of the Lower Bound* (opens new window)
- U.S. Long-Term Financial Asset Returns: An Economic Perspective* (opens new window)
- Canadian Long-Term Financial Asset Returns: An Economic Perspective* (opens new window)
- As Oil Prices Scrape the Bottom of the Barrel, What Lies Ahead?* (opens new window)
- Strong Dollar Bites Into Exports, But Impact Varies By State* (opens new window)
- Canadian and U.S. Millennials: One of These Is Not Like the Other* (opens new window)
- Home Is Where the Wealth Is* (opens new window)
- Slowing Growth to Hit Federal Coffers* (opens new window)
- The Trans-Pacific Partnership: A New Generation Trade Deal* (opens new window)
- Trust, But Verify: Fed to Remain Cautious With Rate Hikes Even After the First* (opens new window)
- Who's the Most Vulnerable of Them All? Measuring Household Financial Vulnerability By Region* (opens new window)
- Canadian Agriculture Sector: Prices Down, But Loonie Providing Some Offset* (opens new window)
- Internal Trade in Canada: To Sustain Solid Gains, Barriers Must Fall* (opens new window)
- Canadian Small Businesses Resilient Even in Turbulent Waters* (opens new window)
- With a Liberal Win, Infrastructure Set to Take a Bigger Role* (opens new window)
- Business Investment Outlook: Trade-Based Sectors to Step Out of Resource Shadow* (opens new window)
- The Federal Reserve's Conundrum: Raising Rates Admist Conflicting Expectations* (opens new window)
- The Ties that Bind: Bank of Canada Won't Follow U.S. in Raising Rates* (opens new window)
- Failure To Launch: Canadian Exports And Structural Headwinds* (opens new window)
- Canadian Regional Housing Outlook: The Power of Low Interest Rates* (opens new window)
- Domestic Tourism Will Support Florida Economy Despite International Weakness* (opens new window)
- Why Are We Not Seeing A Manufacturing Rebound In The Northeast?* (opens new window)
- Canada’s Retail Sector Mostly Upbeat In First Half Of 2015* (opens new window)
- Taxes In Canada: A Mixed Bag Of Tax Changes Roles Out In The 2015 Budget Season* (opens new window)
- China’s Currency Depreciation Is Not A Race To The Bottom* (opens new window)
- China’s Renminbi Will Not Threaten The Dollar’s Reserve Currency Status* (opens new window)
- A Checkered Landscape: A Global View Of The Risk Of Shadow Banking* (opens new window)
- Canadian Economic Slump To Ease In Latter Half Of 2015* (opens new window)
- Assessing The Risk Of A Disorderly Home Price Correction In Toronto And Vancouver* (opens new window)
- China’s Economy Is Entering A Slower, Riskier Phase (And Policy Options Are Running Thin)* (opens new window)
- Rate Cut Not A Game Changer For Canada’s Housing Market* (opens new window)
- China Takes Heavy-Hand To Settle Market* (opens new window)
- What Next After The Greek Referendum?* (opens new window)
- Aboriginal Women Outperforming In Labour Markets* (opens new window)
- Greek Referendum and Capital Controls* (opens new window)
- Canadian Export Sector Poised to Step on the Gas* (opens new window)
- Prices Off Their Bottom, But World Still Awash In Oil* (opens new window)
- Strong Dollar A Headwind To Businesses, But A Tailwind To Consumers* (opens new window)
- Auto Lending: Cause For Concern?* (opens new window)
- The Long And Winding Road Towards Aboriginal Economic Prosperity* (opens new window)
- Selling Canada Short* (opens new window)
- Canada’s Non-Residential Construction Outlook* (opens new window)
- Swings In Oil And Gasoline Prices Cloud Retail* (opens new window)
- The Market Benefits of "Green" Condos in Toronto* (opens new window)
- EZ Credit - ECB Policies Leading to Rise in Credit and Economic Growth* (opens new window)
- Alberta Catches The Orange Wave* (opens new window)
- The Greek Bailout Saga Continues* (opens new window)
- Rising Apartment Construction To Be Met With Continued Rental Demand* (opens new window)
- The Massachusetts Economy: Powered By Knowledge* (opens new window)
- Working Towards An Improved Greater Toronto/Hamilton Area* (opens new window)
- The GTA Building Boom Comes To An End* (opens new window)
- From A Longer-Term Growth Perspective, West Is Still Best* (opens new window)
- Falling Oil & Gas Investment To Weigh Sharply On Near-Term U.S. Growth* (opens new window)
- Ontario P3s - Cost Does Not Equal Value* (opens new window)
- Japan’s Long Slog In Stoking Wage And Price Growth* (opens new window)
- Giving in Canada - Filling the Gaps* (opens new window)
- Precarious Employment In Canada: Does The Evidence Square With The Anecdotes?* (opens new window)
- Alberta Fiscal Outlook: Seizing The Day To Set The Province On A Stronger Long-Term Footing* (opens new window)
- Canadian Consumer Prices Riding On Loonie’s Wings* (opens new window)
- Technological Advancement In Autos Presents Great Opportunities For Canada* (opens new window)
- U.S. Women Cut A Deeper Path In The Classroom And The Job Market* (opens new window)
- A Challenging Year Ahead For China* (opens new window)
- Conditions Are Ripe For American Consumers To Lead Economic Growth* (opens new window)
- The New Normal: Low Rates In Advanced Economies For The Long Run* (opens new window)
