TD Economics
TD Economics
The analysis covers the globe, with emphasis on Canada, the United States, Europe and Asia
Latest Releases
(en français) indicates content is available on our French website
January 8, 2016
The Weekly Bottom Line (pdf)
Six Employment Facts From A Not So Great Year (pdf)
Canadian Employment (pdf)
U.S. Employment (pdf)
January 7, 2016
Speech by Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz (pdf)
Don't Let Zero Get In the Way of the Lower Bound (pdf)
January 6, 2016
U.S. FOMC Meeting Minutes (pdf)
U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (pdf)
Canadian International Trade (pdf)
U.S. International Trade (pdf)
January 5, 2016
U.S. Vehicle Sales (pdf)
Canadian Long-Term Financial Asset Returns: An Economic Perspective (pdf)
U.S. Long-Term Financial Asset Returns: An Economic Perspective (pdf)
January 4, 2016
U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index (pdf)
December 23, 2015
Canadian Real GDP (pdf)
Canadian Retail Sales (pdf)
U.S. Personal Income and Spending (pdf)
December 18, 2015
U.S. Quarterly State Forecast (pdf)
December 17, 2015
Long-term Economic Forecast (pdf)
Finally! Federal Reserve Hikes Rates 0.25% (webcast)
Quarterly Economic Forecast (pdf)
(press release)
(en français)
December 15, 2015
As Oil Prices Scrape the Bottom of the Barrel, What Lies Ahead? (pdf)
December 11, 2015
Looking For A House? Mortgage Down Payment Rules Change (webcast)
Federal Government Announcement: Further Tightening To Qualifying Rules for Insured Mortgages (pdf)
December 2, 2015
Strong Dollar Bites Into Exports, But Impact Varies By State (pdf)
Bank of Canada Interest Rate Announcement (pdf)
December 1, 2015
Canadian and U.S. Millennials: One of These Is Not Like the Other (pdf)
November 26, 2015
Quebec Fiscal Update (pdf) (en français)
Ontario Fiscal Update (pdf)
Commodity Price Report (pdf)
November 24, 2015
Home Is Where the Wealth Is (pdf)
November 20, 2015
Housing In Canada: Mortgage Rates Rising Sooner Than You Think (webcast)
Slowing Growth to Hit Federal Coffers (pdf)
November 16, 2015
U.S. Dollars & Sense (pdf)
Canadian Dollars & Sense (pdf)
November 10, 2015
Trust, But Verify: Fed to Remain Cautious With Rate Hikes Even After the First (pdf)
November 9, 2015
Who's the Most Vulnerable of Them All? Measuring Household Financial Vulnerability By Region (pdf)
November 6, 2015
Canadian Agriculture Sector: Prices Down, But Loonie Providing Some Offset (pdf) (en français)
October 29, 2015
October 27, 2015
Alberta 2015 Budget: A Longer Road Back to Balance (pdf)
How the Election Results Affects Your Finances (webcast)
October 23, 2015
Liberal Party Tax & TFSA Revamp (webcast)
October 22, 2015
Internal Trade in Canada: To Sustain Solid Gains, Barriers Must Fall (pdf) (en français)
October 21, 2015
Canadian Small Businesses Resilient Even in Turbulent Waters (pdf) (en français)
October 20, 2015
With a Liberal Win, Infrastructure Set to Take a Bigger Role (pdf) (en français)
October 16, 2015
October 9, 2015
Bank of Canada Business Outlook & Senior Loan Officer Surveys (Fall 2015) (pdf)
Business Investment Outlook: Trade-Based Sectors to Step Out of Resource Shadow (pdf)
October 8, 2015
The Federal Reserve's Conundrum: Raising Rates Admist Conflicting Expectations (pdf)
Canadian Provincial Economic Forecast (pdf) (en français)
October 1, 2015
The Ties that Bind: Bank of Canada Won't Follow U.S. in Raising Rates (pdf)
September 3, 2015
Failure To Launch: Canadian Exports And Structural Headwinds (pdf) (en français)
August 31, 2015
Canadian Regional Housing Outlook: The Power of Low Interest Rates (pdf) (en français)
August 26, 2015
Domestic Tourism Will Support Florida Economy Despite International Weakness (pdf)
August 24, 2015
Why Are We Not Seeing A Manufacturing Rebound In The Northeast? (pdf)
August 21, 2015
Canada’s Retail Sector Mostly Upbeat In First Half Of 2015 (pdf)
Current Publications
- Key Economic Indicators* (opens new window)
- Canadian Commentaries (opens new window)
- U.S. Commentaries (opens new window)
- Weekly Bottom Line* (opens new window)
- Canadian Dollars & Sense* (opens new window)
- U.S. Dollars & Sense* (opens new window)
- Quarterly Economic Forecast - Canada* (opens new window)
- Quarterly Economic Forecast - U.S.* (opens new window)
- U.S. Quarterly State Forecast* (opens new window)
- Canadian Provincial Economic Forecast* (opens new window)
- Long-term Economic Forecast* (opens new window)
- Commodity Price Report* (opens new window)
- Federal & Provincial Budgets (opens new window)
Special Reports
- Six Employment Facts From A Not So Great Year* (opens new window)
- Don't Let Zero Get In the Way of the Lower Bound* (opens new window)
- U.S. Long-Term Financial Asset Returns: An Economic Perspective* (opens new window)
- Canadian Long-Term Financial Asset Returns: An Economic Perspective* (opens new window)
- As Oil Prices Scrape the Bottom of the Barrel, What Lies Ahead?* (opens new window)
- Strong Dollar Bites Into Exports, But Impact Varies By State* (opens new window)
- Canadian and U.S. Millennials: One of These Is Not Like the Other* (opens new window)
- Home Is Where the Wealth Is* (opens new window)
- Slowing Growth to Hit Federal Coffers* (opens new window)
- The Trans-Pacific Partnership: A New Generation Trade Deal* (opens new window)
- Trust, But Verify: Fed to Remain Cautious With Rate Hikes Even After the First* (opens new window)
- Who's the Most Vulnerable of Them All? Measuring Household Financial Vulnerability By Region* (opens new window)
- Canadian Agriculture Sector: Prices Down, But Loonie Providing Some Offset* (opens new window)
- Internal Trade in Canada: To Sustain Solid Gains, Barriers Must Fall* (opens new window)
- Canadian Small Businesses Resilient Even in Turbulent Waters* (opens new window)
- With a Liberal Win, Infrastructure Set to Take a Bigger Role* (opens new window)
- Business Investment Outlook: Trade-Based Sectors to Step Out of Resource Shadow* (opens new window)
- The Federal Reserve's Conundrum: Raising Rates Admist Conflicting Expectations* (opens new window)
- The Ties that Bind: Bank of Canada Won't Follow U.S. in Raising Rates* (opens new window)
- Failure To Launch: Canadian Exports And Structural Headwinds* (opens new window)
- Canadian Regional Housing Outlook: The Power of Low Interest Rates* (opens new window)
- Domestic Tourism Will Support Florida Economy Despite International Weakness* (opens new window)
- Why Are We Not Seeing A Manufacturing Rebound In The Northeast?* (opens new window)
- Canada’s Retail Sector Mostly Upbeat In First Half Of 2015* (opens new window)
- Taxes In Canada: A Mixed Bag Of Tax Changes Roles Out In The 2015 Budget Season* (opens new window)
- China’s Currency Depreciation Is Not A Race To The Bottom* (opens new window)
- China’s Renminbi Will Not Threaten The Dollar’s Reserve Currency Status* (opens new window)
- A Checkered Landscape: A Global View Of The Risk Of Shadow Banking* (opens new window)
- Canadian Economic Slump To Ease In Latter Half Of 2015* (opens new window)
- Assessing The Risk Of A Disorderly Home Price Correction In Toronto And Vancouver* (opens new window)
- China’s Economy Is Entering A Slower, Riskier Phase (And Policy Options Are Running Thin)* (opens new window)
- Rate Cut Not A Game Changer For Canada’s Housing Market* (opens new window)
- China Takes Heavy-Hand To Settle Market* (opens new window)
- What Next After The Greek Referendum?* (opens new window)
- Aboriginal Women Outperforming In Labour Markets* (opens new window)
- Greek Referendum and Capital Controls* (opens new window)
- Canadian Export Sector Poised to Step on the Gas* (opens new window)
- Prices Off Their Bottom, But World Still Awash In Oil* (opens new window)
- Strong Dollar A Headwind To Businesses, But A Tailwind To Consumers* (opens new window)
- Auto Lending: Cause For Concern?* (opens new window)
- The Long And Winding Road Towards Aboriginal Economic Prosperity* (opens new window)
- Selling Canada Short* (opens new window)
- Canada’s Non-Residential Construction Outlook* (opens new window)
- Swings In Oil And Gasoline Prices Cloud Retail* (opens new window)
- The Market Benefits of "Green" Condos in Toronto* (opens new window)
- EZ Credit - ECB Policies Leading to Rise in Credit and Economic Growth* (opens new window)
- Alberta Catches The Orange Wave* (opens new window)
- The Greek Bailout Saga Continues* (opens new window)
- Rising Apartment Construction To Be Met With Continued Rental Demand* (opens new window)
- The Massachusetts Economy: Powered By Knowledge* (opens new window)
- Working Towards An Improved Greater Toronto/Hamilton Area* (opens new window)
- The GTA Building Boom Comes To An End* (opens new window)
- From A Longer-Term Growth Perspective, West Is Still Best* (opens new window)
- Falling Oil & Gas Investment To Weigh Sharply On Near-Term U.S. Growth* (opens new window)
- Ontario P3s - Cost Does Not Equal Value* (opens new window)
- Japan’s Long Slog In Stoking Wage And Price Growth* (opens new window)
- Giving in Canada - Filling the Gaps* (opens new window)
- Precarious Employment In Canada: Does The Evidence Square With The Anecdotes?* (opens new window)
- Alberta Fiscal Outlook: Seizing The Day To Set The Province On A Stronger Long-Term Footing* (opens new window)
- Canadian Consumer Prices Riding On Loonie’s Wings* (opens new window)
- Technological Advancement In Autos Presents Great Opportunities For Canada* (opens new window)
- U.S. Women Cut A Deeper Path In The Classroom And The Job Market* (opens new window)
- A Challenging Year Ahead For China* (opens new window)
- Conditions Are Ripe For American Consumers To Lead Economic Growth* (opens new window)
- The New Normal: Low Rates In Advanced Economies For The Long Run* (opens new window)
* This link leads directly to the PDF file. To view them you will need Adobe Acrobat Viewer. Get it here